The Down Range Forum

Member Section => Politics & RKBA => Topic started by: clayflingythingy on January 07, 2008, 02:56:02 PM

Title: NH Predictions???
Post by: clayflingythingy on January 07, 2008, 02:56:02 PM
Anyone want to predict NH just for the heck of it? Here's mine.

REP:

1st-McCain in double digits
2nd-Romney
3rd-Huckster. The media will proclaim his third place win as proof that he can compete nationally. He will get a big boost going into MI and SC out of this media hype.

DEM:

1st-Obama by such a margin there isn't any reason to even discuss 2nd or 3rd.
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: jaybet on January 07, 2008, 05:43:40 PM
I saw one of the news channels going into great depth about the difference between voters in NH vs voters in Iowa, and how the candidates had to approach them differently and how different things are important to them. If those voters in two states are that different, think how much diversity there is throughout the country!

Now I have to ask...if there is that much diversity, how come one or two states (read particular kinds of voters) get to be the ones to cull several candidates from the mix?

ALL primaries should be on the same day. That way ALL of our votes count and the majority gets represented.
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: Fuzzy on January 07, 2008, 06:59:29 PM
I saw one of the news channels going into great depth about the difference between voters in NH vs voters in Iowa, and how the candidates had to approach them differently and how different things are important to them. If those voters in two states are that different, think how much diversity there is throughout the country!

Now I have to ask...if there is that much diversity, how come one or two states (read particular kinds of voters) get to be the ones to cull several candidates from the mix?

ALL primaries should be on the same day. That way ALL of our votes count and the majority gets represented.
+1 is all I can say for now!
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: Hazcat on January 07, 2008, 07:09:14 PM
I agree. all National elections should be held on the same day and the poles should be open for 24 hours.  That way there would not be any "early Returns" and pundits trying to swing the vote.

All Poles open at the same time and close 24 hours later.
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: camacho on January 07, 2008, 10:23:18 PM
Quote
REP:

1st-McCain in double digits
2nd-Romney
3rd-Huckster. The media will proclaim his third place win as proof that he can compete nationally. He will get a big boost going into MI and SC out of this media hype.

DEM:

1st-Obama by such a margin there isn't any reason to even discuss 2nd or 3rd.


I think this a pretty safe prediction, albeit, some polls show Romney dangerously close to McCain. I sincerely hope those polls are wrong. As to Huck, third place is a good thing, but I do not think the media will devote much time on him. Obama seems to be the latest fad in the world of politics, and the media will pronounce his coronation.The media might be surprised some months from now, when they start digging through his credentials or lack thereof.
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: tombogan03884 on January 08, 2008, 02:27:56 AM
The "Manchurian Candidate" (McCain)Will not do that well in NH, He's a fringe element like Ron Paul.
 I'm expecting Rudy :( Romney and Huckabee top 3, Not sure what order, then Fred and The Manchurian Candidatefighting for 4th
 No arguement on the Dem.s
 JayBethel, You asked about diversity? How about this Forum :D and San Francisco :( But someone has to skim off the slime.
 All primaries should be held the day after NH :D
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: camacho on January 08, 2008, 07:33:11 AM
Quote
I'm expecting Rudy, Romney and Huckabee top 3, Not sure what order, then Fred and The Manchurian Candidate fighting for 4th


I sincerely doubt Rudy will get anywhere near the top three.
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: jaybet on January 08, 2008, 08:32:13 AM
JayBethel, You asked about diversity? How about this Forum :D and San Francisco :( But someone has to skim off the slime.
 All primaries should be held the day after NH :D
I take it you're from NH?
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: tombogan03884 on January 08, 2008, 11:36:59 AM
Yes sir ! :D
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: jaybet on January 08, 2008, 11:45:13 AM
Yes sir ! :D
:D
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: Teresa Heilevang on January 08, 2008, 11:54:52 AM
I agree. all National elections should be held on the same day and the poles should be open for 24 hours.  That way there would not be any "early Returns" and pundits trying to swing the vote.

All Poles open at the same time and close 24 hours later.

Yes!
PLUS~~ How about having a way to vote that you know ..without a doubt ...that your vote will be counted "correctly"..
Correctly is the magic word here.
We either have people who are too stupid to manually count votes..or we have an electronic system that is far from being legitimately fair and accurate.

http://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2004/11/the_problem_wit.html
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: jaybet on January 08, 2008, 02:15:26 PM
Yes!
PLUS~~ How about having a way to vote that you know ..without a doubt ...that your vote will be counted "correctly"..
Correctly is the magic word here.
We either have people who are too stupid to manually count votes..or we have an electronic system that is far from being legitimately fair and accurate.

http://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2004/11/the_problem_wit.html

Here in NJ we bought a zillion electronic voting machines and now they're trying to get them modified so that we can get a paper receipt. They also have no way to do a recount, if necessary.

Can you say Tony Soprano?
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: Teresa Heilevang on January 08, 2008, 07:45:30 PM
Ahhhhh yeah I can... ;D

**quote** Oh, yeah? Who knows more about extortion, me or you?
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: tombogan03884 on January 09, 2008, 01:50:23 AM
 I apoligize to you all for the chowder headed a&$ holes I find myself surrounded by  here in NH
Title: Re: NH Predictions???
Post by: clayflingythingy on January 09, 2008, 07:16:57 AM
I'm just as good at this prediction stuff as all the bloggers and talking heads!

McCain I thought would have done better than his 5 point win. I was kinda embarrassed every time the TV flashed Fred's 1% on the screen. The guy was beaten by a Ron Paul for goodness sake. Yeah, I know, he wrote NH off to make his last stand in SC.

While the polls callled McCain/Romney with precision they sure missed it with Hildabeast/Obama. I was prematurely celebrating the end of the Clinton dynasty it looks like. Listened to Obama's speech last nite and if I didn't know he was a liberal commie I would jump on his bandwagon. Gives the best political speech since Reagan.

IF McCain or Huckster win Mi next week it shapes up as a two man race between them in SC. Lindsey Graham's organization for McCain against the fundamentalists lined up for Huckster. That leaves Fred with a 3rd place the best he can do. Whoever wins SC then goes on to sweep Fl and Super Tuesday.