No Tom, Path isn't being pessimistic, he's being honest. What would Germany have done had it not been for the US rebuilding what we destroyed? From 1945 to 1960 Germany would have CEASED to exist if we didn't rebuild it, just like Japan after the BOMB!
Now we have N Korea and Iran pushing our buttons AGAIN! Obviously they didn't get the message the first time.
Not correct.
Look at Haiti, We have been pouring money into that sh!thole for 200 years. (since they threw out Napoleon's forces ) and it is still a barely functional, dependent state.
Another thing not commonly known is that the Marshall plan did not spend one penny of American money in Europe. What it did was forgive the huge debts incurred by France and Britain for "Lend Lease" material in exchange for investing in Germany and other devastated countries .
But with out the industry and optimism of the German and Japanese people, and a stable and predictable political climate they would have remained helpless like Haiti and Somalia.
Look at East Germany, even with out out side assistance they rose to the highest standards of living and production quality in the entire Warsaw pact, and they did not with Soviet assistance, but in spite of Soviet interference.
As to the future, while Iran may pose a regional threat and possibly even interfere with Arabian oil supplies that is the most they are capable of, the Persians will never again threaten Europe with invasion as they did in the days of the Empire. Although they do present a menace as nuclear terrorists, the fact remains that if they ever do play that card they will cease to exist as a habitable portion of the planet.
N Korea is a joke . Their saber rattling has no bearing on their foreign policy which amounts to "I'll rent you my sister for food and oil",
Both of which they are dependent on SK charity to merely maintain life. They should really be of little interest to us since South Korea and Japan are more than capable of handling them. That does not take into account that their former Patron, China, realizes that their best interests are not served by military conflict in the region, it's bad for business. Southern China is already being flooded with masses of starving Korean refugees that they don't want, conflict would only make the problem worse, Should such a conflict go nuclear, 1) China does not want the fall out the prevailing winds would dump on them, 2) it would defeat the aims of the NK leadership. The only practical purpose for an invasion of the South would be to seize the industrial and financial assets of the South, if they glow in the dark there is no value in them, it is simply millions more mouths to feed with out the help of the nations that would turn against them.
The ones to watch are China and Russia, While we will most likely never face a military threat from them, They will exert their strength on the new battlefield of commerce. We should realize that from the huge influx of Chinese made goods in our stores.
As for Russia Their opposition to us is primarily behind the scenes, such as supplying Saddam Hussein,, and opposing us in the UN.
Their motive is power in the form of oil. Their opposition to our involvement in Afghanistan stems from the fact that we acquired rights to the huge oil reserves in Azerbaijan on the Caspian sea, the current plan is to pipe it to Turkey for distribution in Europe which would cut Europe's dependence on Russian oil, A few years ago they cut off oil deliveries to Georgia and Ukraine in the middle of winter just to remind them who was the boss, and to let Europe know, play ball or more than half your fuel supplies could disappear over night.