Hi Rob,
Used IE and listened to the lecture.
The recent Rand report, and the SOP 9 report on thousands of police combat cases support what you say: that there is a disconnect between shooting effectiveness when in training and when on the job.
..........
Per the SOP 9, From Sept 1854 to Dec 1979, 254 officers died from wounds received in an armed encounter. The shooting distance in 90% of those cases was less than 15 feet.
The shooting distances where officers survived, remained almost the same during the SOP years (1970-1979), and for a random sampling of cases going back as far as 1929. 4,000 cases were reviewed. The shooting distance in 75% of those cases was less than 20 feet.
The majority of incidents occurred in poor lighting conditions. None occurred in what could be called total darkness. It was noted that flashlights were not used as a marksmanship aid. Also, dim light firing involves another element which is different from full light firing, muzzle flash.
In 70% of the cases reviewed, sight alignment was not used. Officers reported that they used instinctive or point shooting.
Officers, with an occasional exception, fired with the strong hand. That was the case even when it appeared advantageous to use the weak hand.
An attempt was made to relate an officer's ability to strike a target in a combat situation to his range qualification scores. After making over 200 such comparisons, no firm conclusion was reached.
More info on the sop 9 can be found at
http://www.pointshooting.com/sop9.htmAnd info on the more recent Rand study is at
http://www.pointshooting.com/randinfo.htm