Author Topic: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll  (Read 2723 times)

tombogan03884

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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
« on: July 26, 2009, 01:36:10 PM »
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows that 29% of the nation's voters now Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -11. That’s the first time his ratings have reached double digits in negative territory (see trends).

These updates are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Today is the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the President’s prime time televised press conference. The number who Strongly Approve of the President has remained unchanged since the press conference but the number who Strongly Disapprove has gone up by five percentage points (from 35% on Wednesday morning to 40% today).

The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern
The President received generally poor grades for his response to a question about a Cambridge police incident involving a black Harvard professor. However, the results show a huge divide between black Americans and white Americans on all questions.

Overall, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama’s numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That’s because some of the President’s most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote.

(PremThe President is now seen as politically liberal by 76%. That’s up six points from a month ago, 11 points since he was elected, and the highest total to date. Forty-eight percent (48%) now see him as Very Liberal, up 20 points since he was elected

While the President’s ratings have slipped over the past month, 54% believe that President George W. Bush is still primarily to blame for the nation’s economic problems. Just 25% believe that the economic stimulus package has helped the economy.

California Senator Barbara Boxer is clinging to a four-point lead in her bid for re-election.

Fifty-three percent (53%) now oppose the Congressional health care reform package. That’s up eight points over the past month. Just 20% now see health care as the most important of the President’s priorities. Nearly twice as many, 37%, say deficit reduction is most important.

When comparing Job Approval data from different firms, it's important to keep in mind that polls of likely voters and polls of all adults will typically and consistently yield different results. In the case of President Obama, polls by all firms measuring all adults typically show significantly higher approval ratings than polls of likely voters. Polls of registered voters typically fall in the middle. Other factors are also important to consider when comparing Job Approval ratings from different polling firms.

A Fordham University professor has rated the national pollsters on their record in Election 2008. We also have provided a summary of our results for your review.

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters--is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Premium Members.

Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large (see methodology). Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Over the past four years, the number of Democrats in the country has increased while the number of Republicans has decreased.

Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 39.0% Democrats, 32.5% Republicans, and 28.5% unaffiliated. Likely voter samples typically show a slightly smaller advantage for the Democrats.


MikeBjerum

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Re: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2009, 05:32:17 PM »
I would like to request that someone able to carry a tune, please give us a chorus of "The honeymoon is over"  ;D

However, from the chart it looks like the honeymoon ended before he even took office.  The best you can say about the precious first 100 days of office, when they try to get everything they want and set a tone, is a little afterglow.  Beyond that it has been a disappointment for his fans.
If I appear taller than other men it is because I am standing on the shoulders of others.

alfsauve

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Re: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2009, 06:56:42 PM »
"Hmmmmmmmmmm"

The party's over.   Time to call it.......done, over, kaput......Mr One Term Wonder....a la Jimmy Carter.

Other not so humorous thoughts.

The rubber meets the road.

Reality bites.


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MikeBjerum

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Re: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2009, 07:21:09 PM »
One more good dip, and we can use the analogy of the post turtle figuring out one thing ... how to get down  ;)
If I appear taller than other men it is because I am standing on the shoulders of others.

tombogan03884

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Re: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2009, 07:44:44 PM »
 How many AMERICAN Presidents will it take to undo his policies.

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Re: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
« Reply #5 on: Today at 04:09:21 PM »

fullautovalmet76

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Re: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2009, 07:58:11 PM »
And these tracking polls are irrelevant at this point when we think about the item most important to him - his reelection. Remember, he has another 2.5 years to turn this around, which is completely possible when one thinks of how stupid the American public is.

Remember, he just might become our very best friend in 2011. He might promise to do or consider a multitude of pro-gun things. He might appoint a pro-2A justice to SCOTUS! I think there is nothing he isn't willing to do to stay in office.

Poll numbers at this point only are meaningful for whatever his agenda is about at the moment.

I'm just saying it's premature to be popping the Champagne corks now.....This is long from over.....

tombogan03884

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Re: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2009, 08:04:40 PM »
Might rain prostitutes as well but I'm not betting that way.

twyacht

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Re: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2009, 08:24:02 PM »
There will hopefully be a day of reckoning after the 2010 election that, if there is any chance, those that will label BHO a "lame duck". It will cause the far-left to cover their ass,... Hopefully, the RINO's can "sound off like they got a pair", and try, keyword try, to undo this socialist agenda. Pelosi needs to go. If not by votes than by a Minority after 2010, that loudly pushes her San Francisco buttons, Boxer, the lot of them...to actually listen, I am, however dreaming at this point...

But Sen. Reid is possible to defeat in NV. That would send a message..

Since Secret Service would thwart any attempt to drag them out for a tar and feathering, I hope the Conservatives step up.

Stop playing nice with these people, they only stab those who disagree in the back anyway. Time to turn the tide.,.
Thomas Jefferson: The strongest reason for the people to keep and bear arms is, as a last resort, to protect themselves against the tyranny of government. That is why our masters in Washington are so anxious to disarm us. They are not afraid of criminals. They are afraid of a populace which cannot be subdued by tyrants."
Col. Jeff Cooper.

alfsauve

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Re: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
« Reply #8 on: July 26, 2009, 08:37:21 PM »
And these tracking polls are irrelevant at this point when we think about the item most important to him - his reelection.

They are important for his support and for fund raising so that he can get re-elected.  I doubt it will cause him to change any policy, but it will give him cause to change how he presents his programs.

Remember, he just might become our very best friend in 2011.

NO NO NO.   He does whatever it takes to get himself elected, ergo he is NO friend regardless of what he says.  [Well baring a true Damascus Road experience........not holding my breath.]


I'm just saying it's premature to be popping the Champagne corks now.....This is long from over.....

AGREED.   But a little glee can be fun while it lasts.

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tombogan03884

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Re: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2009, 09:49:55 PM »
"I'm just saying it's premature to be popping the Champagne corks now.....This is long from over....."

Don't be such a kill joy, let us gloat the rest of Sunday because you KNOW he will say and / or do something to piss us off on Monday.
and Tuesday.
And Wednesday.
And.....

 

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