Rastus, I agree with everything you postulate, but I think it goes a step beyond...
None of the current crop of Dummycraps has the juice to pull off a win. So, it will go to a brokered convention where all bets are off. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Hildebeast back in the mix. What I don't see is any of the current brain-dead group getting the nod. Bernie will get his foolish group of kids to support him. Biden is out of time and out of gas. Fauxcohantas is widely recognized as a lying bitch and will never generate serious support. Nanny Bloomberg is a sniveling piece of crap and despite his money will not generate support among the common man. And I just don't think America wants a President who takes it up the butt. Maybe that's sexist, but the boomer generation grew up thinkinging that it is sexual perversion. He won't get their vote and he won't get the black vote, either. That makes him dead in the water. Klobucher, Yang, Steyer and the rest have too little support to make a difference.
So, it goes to a brokered convention where names like Mooshell Odamna or Opra will be bandied about. I think Trump will win, but it's going to be a very nasty fight.
Crusader Rabbit